Leeds University Library

SOEE5550M
Module Reading List

Climate Change: Impacts and Adaptation, 2017/18, Semester 2
Prof Andrew Challinor
A.J.Challinor@leeds.ac.uk
Tutor information is taken from the Module Catalogue

Books are provided to give a foundation in the subject; journal articles are needed in order to fully understand methods, and to interpret results. In all reading, it is important to identify the appropriate sections / chapters, and to judge the level of detail required. Some guidance is given below. If in doubt, ask.

The IPCC are assessment reports that summarise a large amount of information. They are also a useful source of references.

Main course texts (books)

IPCC (2014) Climate change 2014 : impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability : Volume 1 (Part A) and Volume 2 (Part B), Global and Sectoral Aspects. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press. Available at https://ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/report/full-report/ and https://ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/images/uploads/WGIIAR5-PartB_FINAL.pdf

IPCC. 2012. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation: special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Field, C.B., (ed.). Cambridge University Press, 2012. Available at http://ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/images/uploads/SREX-All_FINAL.pdf

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Further reading (books)

Houghton (2009) Global warming: the complete briefing . Third (2004) or Fourth (2009, ISBN: 9780521709163) edition.

W. Steffen et al (2004) Global change and the earth system : a planet under pressure Berlin ; London : Springer.

Cowie, Johanthan. Climate change : biological and human aspects . Cambridge University Press 2008. ISBN-13: 9780521696197

Eckart Ehlers and Thomas Krafft (eds.) (2006) Earth system science in the anthropocene : [emerging issues and problems] Berlin : Springer.

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Week 1: Introduction to impacts and adaptation

Key reading:

Jones, R. N., Patwardhan, A., Cohen, S. J., Dessai, S., Lammel, A., Lempert, R. J., Mirza, M. M. Q. & Von Storch, H. 2014. Foundations for decision making. In : Field, C. B., Barros, V. R., Dokken, D. J., Mach, K. J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Bilir, T. E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K. L., Estrada, Y. O., Genova, R. C., Girma, B., Kissel, E. S., Levy, A. N., Maccracken, S., Mastrandrea, P. R. & White, L. L. ed(s). Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 195-228. Available at https://web.archive.org/web/20141105192854/https://ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/images/uploads/WGIIAR5-Chap2_FINAL.pdf

IPCC. 2014. Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change . Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-32. Available at https://web.archive.org/web/20141105192310/https://ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/images/uploads/WGIIAR5-SPM_FINAL.pdf

Further reading

Robert V. Rohli, Anthony J. Vega (2007) Climatology . Sudbury, Mass. : Jones and Bartlett Publishers. Chapters 1-4, 11-13.

Schmidt, G. 2014. The emergent patterns of climate change. TED2014. Available at https://www.ted.com/talks/gavin_schmidt_the_emergent_patterns_of_climate_change#t-462481

Attenborough, D. 2013. Climate Change – Britain under threat. Available at: https://www.youtube.com/watch? v=Cq1oFhTINXE

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Week 2: Climate change and causation of impacts

Key reading: overview of climate change and impacts

Robert V. Rohli, Anthony J. Vega (2007) Climatology . Sudbury, Mass. : Jones and Bartlett Publishers. Chapters 1-4, 11-13.

Houghton, chapter 7

Steffen, chapter 4

Further reading

Moss et al. (2010), The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature. 463, 747-756 (11 February 2010) | doi:10.1038/nature08823

Hansen, J., M. Sato and R. Ruedy (2012). Perception of climate change. PNAS - Physical Sciences - Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences 109 (37) E2415-E2423

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Week 3: Designing impacts models

Key reading

Challinor AJ, Wheeler TR, Craufurd PQ, Slingo JM, Grimes DIF (2004) Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops, AGR FOREST METEOROL, 124, pp.99-120. doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.01.002 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.01.002

Wilby, R. L. and T. Wigley (1997). Downscaling General Circulation Model output: a review of methods and limitations. Progress in physical geography. 21, 530-548.

Further reading

Lobell, D. B., M. B. Burke, C. Tebaldi, M. D. Mastrandrea, W. P. Falcon, and R. L. Naylor (2008). Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science. 319 (5863), 607-610.

Beven, K. (2006). A manifesto for the equifinallity thesis. Journal of Hydrology. 320, 18-36.

Betts, R. 2005 Integrated approaches to climate–crop modelling: needs and challenges. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological sciences. 360, 2049–2065. (doi:10.1098/rstb.2005.1739.)

Huntingford, C. et al (2008) Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon ‘dieback’, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological sciences. , 363(1498), pp. 1857-1864. Available online from http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/2358/

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Week 4: Using impacts models

Key reading

IPCC (2007) AR4 WGII " Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability " Chapter 2

van Vuuren, D. P, L. B. Bayer, C. Chuwah, L. Ganzeveld, W. Hazeleger, B. van den Hurk, T. van Noije, B. O'Neill and B. J. Strengers (2012). A comprehensive view on climate change: coupling of earth system and integrated assessment models. Environmental research letters 7 024012 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024012

Further reading

Challinor, A. J., T. Osborne, A. Morse, L. Shaffrey, T. Wheeler, H. Weller (2009). Methods and resources for climate impacts research: achieving synergy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. , 90 (6), 825–835.

Wheeler and von Braun (2013) Climate Change Impacts on Global Food Security. Science. Vol. 341 no. 6145 pp. 508-513

Morton, J.F. (2007) The Impact of Climate Change on Smallholder and Subsistence Agriculture. PNAS 104(50), pp.19680-19685

Robinson, J. (2008). Being undisciplined: Transgressions and intersections in academia and beyond. Futures. . 40, 70-86.

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Week 5: Impact assessments

Key reading

IPCC (2014) Climate change 2014 : impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability : Volume 1 (Part A) Chapter 7. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.

Further reading

Challinor AJ, Watson J, Lobell DB, Howden SM, Smith DR, Chhetri N (2014) A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation , Nature Climate Change , 4 , pp.287-291. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2153

GFS report, Annex A: Climate and global crop production shocks. Available on the VLE

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Week 6: How can impacts modelling support adaptation?

Key reading

Challinor AJ, Watson J, Lobell DB, Howden SM, Smith DR, Chhetri N (2014) A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation , Nature Climate Change , 4 , pp.287-291. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2153

Challinor and Visman (2014). Climate impacts: taking action in the face of uncertainty. Available at http://www.nerc.ac.uk/research/partnerships/lwec/products/ppn/ppn05/

Further reading

Stirling, A. (2010) Keep it complex. Nature. 468(7327):1029-1031. ?

Challinor AJ, Simelton ES, Fraser EDG, Hemming D, Collins M (2010) Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China , Environmental Research Letters , 5 , . doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034012

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Week 7: Approaches to climate change adaptation

Key reading

Jones, R. N. & Preston, B.L. 2011. Adaptation and risk management. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change. . 2 (2), pp. 296-308.

Kates, R. W., Travis, W.R. & Wilbanks, T. J. 2012. Transformational adaptation when incremental adaptations to climate change are insufficient. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. . 109 (19), pp.7156-61.

Further reading

Folke, C. 2006. Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social-ecological systems analyses. Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions. . 16 (3), pp. 253-267.

Fuessel, H. 2007. Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research. Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions. . 17 (2), pp.155-167.

Preston, B., Mustelin, J. & Maloney, M. 2015. Climate adaptation heuristics and the science/policy divide. Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change. . 20 (3), pp. 467-497.

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Week 8: Policy and governance for adaptation

Key reading

Nalau, J., Preston, B. L. & Maloney, M. C. 2015. Is adaptation a local responsibility? Environmental science and policy. . 48 pp. 89-98.

Westerhoff, L., Keskitalo, E. C. H. & Juhola, S. 2011. Capacities across scales: local to national adaptation policy in four European countries. Climate policy. . 11 (4), pp. 1071-1085.

Further reading

Amundsen, H., Berglund, F. & Westskog, H. 2010. Overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation a question of multilevel governance? Environment and planning. C : government and policy. . 28 (2), pp. 276-289.

Bauer, A., Feichtinger, J. & Steurer, R. 2012. The Governance of Climate Change Adaptation in 10 OECD Countries: Challenges and Approaches. Journal of environmental policy and planning. . 14 (3), pp. 279-304.

Osberghaus, D., Danneberg, A., Mennel, T. & Sturm, B. 2010. The role of the government in adaptation to climate change. Environment and planning. C : government and policy. . 28 (5), pp. 834-850.

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Week 9: Decision-making and planning for adaptation

Key reading

Lemos, M. C. & Rood, R. B. 2010. Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change. . 1 (5), pp. 670-682.

Ranger, N., Millner, A., Dietz, S., Fankhauser, S., Lopez, A. & Ruta, G. 2010. Adaptation in the UK: a decision-making process . Environment Agency. [Online]. Available from: http://www.cccep.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/PB-Ranger-adaptation-UK.pdf

Further reading

Dessai, S., Lu, X. F. & Risbey, J. S. 2005. On the role of climate scenarios for adaptation planning. Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions. . 15 (2), pp. 87-97.

Haasnoot, M., Kwakkel, J. H., Walker, W. E. & Ter Maat, J. 2013. Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world. Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions. . 23 (2), pp. 485-498.

Willows, R., Reynard, N., Meadowcroft, I. & Connell, R. 2003. Climate adaptation: Risk, uncertainty and decision-making. UKCIP technical report , UK Climate Impacts Programme. Available online: http://www.ukcip.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/UKCIP-Risk-framework.pdf

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Week 10: Delivering adaptation actions and measures

Key reading

Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W. & Tompkins, E.L., 2005. Successful adaptation to climate change across scales. Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions. . 15 (2), pp. 77-86.

Moser, S. C. & Ekstrom, J. A. 2010. A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. . 107 (51), pp. 22026-22031.

Further reading

Berrang-Ford, L., Ford, J. D. & Paterson, J. 2011. Are we adapting to climate change? Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions. . 21 (1), pp. 25-33.

Dow, K., Berkhout, F., Preston, B. L., Klein, R. J., Midgley, G. & Shaw, M. R. 2013. Limits to adaptation. Nature climate change . 3 (4), pp. 305-307.

Ford, J. D., Berrang-Ford, L., Biesbroek, R., Araos, M., Austin, S. E. & Lesnikowski, A. 2015. Adaptation tracking for a post-2015 climate agreement. Nature climate change . 5 (11), pp. 967-969.

Lesnikowski, A., Ford, J., Biesbroek, R., Berrang-Ford, L. & Heymann, S. J. 2015. National-level progress on adaptation. Nature climate change . doi:10.1038/nclimate2863

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Week 11: Understanding impacts and adaptation in conjunction

Key reading

Lemos, M. C., Kirchhoff, C. J., Ramprasad, V. 2012. Narrowing the climate information usability gap. Nature climate change . . 2 (11), pp.789-794.

Vermeulen, S. J., Challinor, A. J., Thornton, P. K., Campbell, B. M., Eriyagama, N., Vervoort, J. M.,Kinyangi, J., Jarvis, A., Läderach, P., Ramirez-Villegas, J., Nicklin, K. J., Hawkins, E., & Smith, D. R. 2013. Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. . 110 (21), pp. 8357–8362.

Further reading

Dessai, S. & Hulme, M. 2004. Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? Climate policy. . 4 (2), pp. 107-128.

Mastrandrea, M. D., Heller, N. E., Root, T. L. & Schneider, S. H. 2010. Bridging the gap: linking climate-impacts research with adaptation planning and management. Climatic Change. . 100 (1), pp. 87-101.

Robinson, J. (2008). Being undisciplined: Transgressions and intersections in academia and beyond. Futures. . 40, 70-86.

Challinor, A., Adger, W.N., Di Mauro, M., Baylis, M., Benton, T., Conway, D., Depledge, D., Geddes, A., McCorriston, S., Stringer, L., and Wellesley, L. (2016). UK Climate Change Risk Assessment Evidence Report: Chapter 7, International Dimensions. Report prepared for the Adaptation Sub-Committee of the Committee on Climate Change, London. Available online: https://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/UK-CCRA-2017-Chapter-7-International-dimensions.pdf.

Challinor, AJ, Koehler, AK, Ramirez-Villegas, J, Whitfield, S, Das, D. (2016) Current warming will reduce yields unless maize breeding and seed systems adapt immediately. Nature climate change . 6, pp 954-958.

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Web

· IPCC - http://www.ipcc-wg2.gov/

· UNFCCC - http://unfccc.int/focus/adaptation/items/6999.php

· European Climate Adaptation Platform - http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/

· Agriculture and food security in economically developing nations - www.ccafs.cgiar.org

· UK Government - https://www.gov.uk/government/policies/adapting-to-climate-change

· Adaptation Sub Committee - http://www.theccc.org.uk/tackling-climate-change/preparing-for-climate-change/

· UKCIP - http://www.ukcip.org.uk/

· Climate UK - http://climateuk.net/

·Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security - http://www.ccafs.cgiar.org/

This list was last updated on 12/12/2016